How to Measure a Recession

Understand that unemployment is both a predictor and a consequence of a recession., Notice the monthly report on the average number of applications for unemployment insurance.

2 Steps 1 min read Easy

Step-by-Step Guide

  1. Step 1: Understand that unemployment is both a predictor and a consequence of a recession.

    Employers lay off workers as demand for products declines, and they are reluctant to re-hire until they are fully confident in the economy's return to stability.

    Some economists feel that an unemployment rate of 4% is to be expected in the very best of economic times, so any increase in unemployment should be seen as a function of that 4% benchmark.
  2. Step 2: Notice the monthly report on the average number of applications for unemployment insurance.

Detailed Guide

Employers lay off workers as demand for products declines, and they are reluctant to re-hire until they are fully confident in the economy's return to stability.

Some economists feel that an unemployment rate of 4% is to be expected in the very best of economic times, so any increase in unemployment should be seen as a function of that 4% benchmark.

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Frank Lopez

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